$NAT · the security-budget explorable · community kit

The reply arsenal.
Copy a link. Drop the card.

Every link below unfurls as a full card on X and lands on a live, interactive scene of the security-budget model. When someone gets the budget wrong, you don't need a thread. You need one reply.
1Find the claim you're answering. Each card is filed under the exact thing people say.
2Copy the link. One tap. The URL is the whole payload.
3Paste it as your reply. X unfurls the card automatically. The model does the talking.
WHEN THEY SAY“Fees will replace the subsidy.”
feescase card
feescase↳ lands: fees scene
The fee ceiling, checked. Past ~$3 a transaction users leave, so fees' usable best is ~0.04% of Bitcoin's value a year: 22× under today's ~0.82%. A higher price makes the shortfall bigger, not smaller.
open →
nat-explorable.pages.dev/feescase/
WHEN THEY SAY“Price growth will cover it.”
bullcase card
bullcase↳ lands: bullcase scene
Grants the full Power-Law bull case, then checks what it buys. A higher price defends a bigger prize with a thinner budget: security's share still decays toward ~0.006%. Price growth and security are separate problems.
open →
nat-explorable.pages.dev/bullcase/
WHEN THEY SAY“bitcoin has been growing a LOT faster than 2x every 4 years.” Adam Back · Aug 2025
2x card
2xADAM BACK↳ lands: bullcase scene
His price claim against the tape: cycle tops, top to top, ~37× → ~17× → ~3.5× → ~1.8×. 2025 was the first top under the 2× the halving math needs. And the model grants his bull case anyway.
open →
nat-explorable.pages.dev/2x/
WHEN THEY SAY“2140 is a problem for another century.”
cliff 2140 card
cliff2140↳ lands: cliff2140 scene
The cliff is a design fact, not a forecast: the subsidy halves on a schedule written into Bitcoin's code since 2009 and ends at $0. Drag the year slider and pick your own definition of “premature.”
open →
nat-explorable.pages.dev/cliff2140/
WHEN THEY SAY“Fine, but nothing can fill the gap.”
natflip card
natflip↳ lands: natflip scene
The constructive card: at 2140 the subsidy is zero and fees are thin. Drag $NAT's market cap and watch a market-funded second subsidy carry the budget. The one exit that grows with adoption.
open →
nat-explorable.pages.dev/natflip/
WHEN THEY SAY“There are already solutions for this.”
verdict card
verdict↳ lands: explorable root
The synthesis card: every proposed exit, checked on one panel. The subsidy decays by design, fees cap out 22× short, a higher price leaves the share unchanged. Three exits sealed; one scales.
open →
nat-explorable.pages.dev/verdict/
WHEN THEY SAY“Adam Back already dismissed this.”
objections card
objectionsADAM BACK↳ destination page
He replied twelve times in August 2025. Every claim is on the page quoted verbatim, sourced, archived, and answered by a scene you can run. The strongest dismissal $NAT ever got, taken seriously.
open →
nat-explorable.pages.dev/objections/
▸ Go deeper
▶ WATCH THE ARGUMENT

The video hub

Every $NAT explainer in about 60 seconds each: the cliff, the fee ceiling, the second subsidy, and the graphics from each video. The fastest way to learn the whole case before you argue it.

nat-videos.pages.dev
⚙ BUILD YOUR OWN SCENARIO

The blank model

Set the year, the price, the fee regime, and $NAT's market cap yourself. The explorable renders a share card of your scenario with its own link: post that. Your argument, your numbers, same math.

nat-explorable.pages.dev
$NAT · security-budget explorable
Tokens only · illustrative, not a forecast · quotes verbatim & archived
the model: nat-explorable.pages.dev